The UFC used Saturday's Vegas 124 broadcast to drop its next Riyadh card, and it's a striker's dream. Israel Adesanya will headline UFC Saudi Arabia against Shara Magomedov on December 5 at ANB Arena, a five round main event confirmed by multiple outlets including Yahoo Sports, MMA Fighting, Sherdog and MMA Mania. The co-main event is also a five rounder, with Ian Machado Garry taking on Yaroslav Amosov at welterweight.

Adesanya enters ranked ninth at middleweight and coming off a rough patch, having lost his last outing to Joe Pyfer by knockout in the second round this past March. He's still opened as the betting favorite here at minus 149, and our own model leans the same way, giving him a 60 percent edge in what it calls a slight confidence pick. His Elo sits at 1441 across six tracked bouts.

Magomedov, ranked fifteenth at middleweight, is unbeaten in his tracked run and comes in off a unanimous decision win over Michel Pereira in June. He's priced at plus 127, and our model gives him a 40 percent shot, with an Elo of 1569 built over seven bouts, notably higher than Adesanya's number heading into this one.

In the co-main, Garry, the number one ranked welterweight, is looking to bounce back after dropping a decision to Islam Makhachev in August. Our model gives Garry a 55 percent edge, tighter than the odds suggest.

News of the Adesanya booking spread fast, with a thread on r/MMA already buzzing about the matchup just hours after the announcement.