Every title fighter on the UFC 333 card did their job on the scale Friday in Abu Dhabi. In the co-main, bantamweight champion Petr Yan and challenger Merab Dvalishvili both made weight to lock in their title fight. MMA Fighting, MMA Mania and UFC.com all confirmed the numbers, though one fighter elsewhere on the card missed weight by almost five pounds, according to MMA Fighting's report.
Evloev heads into Saturday unbeaten and ranked number one at featherweight, coming off a majority decision win over Lerone Murphy back in March. Our model gives him a slight 56 percent edge over Volkanovski, who is actually the slight betting underdog at minus 110 to Evloev's minus 105. On Elo, Evloev rates 1597 across four tracked bouts to Volkanovski's 1505 across six, a gap that lines up with how tight the betting markets have this one.
The bantamweight fight is just as close on paper. Yan is priced at minus 142 and carries a 1552 Elo over six bouts, while Dvalishvili, the number one ranked contender, sits at plus 137 with a 1611 Elo over seven bouts. Our model nudges things toward Yan at 55 percent, but both numbers point to a fight nobody should assume is settled before it starts.
With weight no longer a concern for either title fight, Etihad Arena is set for a championship doubleheader on Saturday. Fans are already deep into the r/MMA pre-fight discussion thread, breaking down how both matchups might play out.
